Will UK house prices fall for fifth month in a row?

 

House prices in the UK continued to fall in January, sliding for the fifth month in a row, according to Nationwide, pushing the average cost of a home 3.2% below the peak seen last August.

The cost of a home dropped by 0.6% in the first month of the year compared with December 2022, according to the building society’s monthly survey.

Annual house price growth also slowed at the start of the year to 1.1%, down from 2.8% in December. This is the lowest growth since June 2020, when the housing market reopened after being frozen during the early months of the Covid pandemic.

 

The average price of a home slid to £258,297 in January, a fall of almost £4,000 from a month earlier, when the average property price was £262,068. Nationwide said it was too early to tell whether housing market activity had started to recover, as mortgage rates offered by lenders are returning to normal after they soared following Liz Truss and Kwasi Kwarteng’s disastrous mini-budget last September.

 

Demand for mortgages also tumbled to its lowest level since the 2020 Covid lockdown in December, according to figures from the Bank of England, which found the number of home loan approvals continued to drop in December. Nationwide found that prospective house buyers were facing a bigger challenge to afford property, as a result of the increase in mortgage rates. Mortgage rates have been falling marginally in recent weeks, although the Bank of England is expected to raise interest rates further on Thursday, in what would be the 10th rise in succession.

 

Policymakers are expected to increase the central bank’s base rate to 4%, which would be the highest level since the 2008 financial crisis. House buyers have struggled with affordability in all regions of the UK in recent months, compared with 2021, Nationwide found, as higher mortgage rates have pushed up the cost of servicing a typical mortgage.

What do the official figures say about property prices in North Northamptonshire - are they rising or is our area one of the dozens across the UK where prices started to tumble last month?

The Office for National Statistics (ONS) and HM Land Registry published the latest official house price data on Wednesday (February 15), known as the UK House Price Index. This showed average house prices in North Northamptonshire stood at £283,086 in December – 0.4 per cent higher than in November, when prices were at £282,001 and 14.2 per cent higher than in December last year, when the average was £247,940.

Across the UK as a whole, semi-detached properties saw the strongest growth, with prices up by 11.2 per cent year-on-year. Prices for flats meanwhile were up by only 6.4 per cent.

In North Northamptonshire, property prices for various types of home were as follows:

- Detached homes: average price of £450,366, up 13.6 per cent since last December

- Semi-detached homes: average price of £269,800, up 14.9 per cent since last December

- Terraced homes: average price of £217,504, up 14.7 per cent since last December

- Flats: average price of £132,845, up 11.7 per cent since last December

Meanwhile, the rising cost of renting a home, which has been increasing at the strongest pace since records began in 2005, is also making it difficult renters to save money for a house deposit.

Will UK house prices fall for fifth month in a row?
Mr Amaniel Ghile

Mr Amaniel Ghile
Director (MNAEA, MARLA)

As the Director of Prime Choice Ltd, I’m proud to continue the family business my father started in 1992. With over a decade of personal experience since joining the company in 2011, and collectively offering more than 50 years of expertise, we provide our clients with a wealth of knowledge in lettings, sales, and property management. At Prime Choice Ltd, we’re dedicated to delivering personalised, reliable service, helping our clients find the perfect home or investment opportunity with a touch of family care and commitment.

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